Hurricane Trudy Moves Away From Mexico's Pacific Coast, Hurricane Warning Dropped

Updated 18:16 UTC, Oct. 18, 2026. Mexico has dropped the hurricane warning for its Pacific coast as Hurricane Trudy starts to move away, the United States National Hurricane Center said in its 15:00 UTC advisory. The center put Trudy about 165 miles, or 265 kilometres, west of Manzanillo and about 115 miles, or 185 kilometres, southwest of Cabo Corrientes, with maximum sustained winds of 105 miles per hour, or 165 kilometres per hour, moving northwest at 8 miles per hour, or 13 kilometres per hour, and a minimum pressure of 970 millibars. The government of Mexico changed the hurricane warning to a tropical storm warning from Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes and dropped all warnings south of Playa Perula. A tropical storm warning is now in effect from Playa Perula to San Blas and for Las Islas Marias, the Associated Press reported. Forecasters said Trudy will move away from southwestern and west-central Mexico on Sunday afternoon, then move slowly south of Baja California Sur on Monday and Tuesday. Rapid weakening is expected to begin later on Sunday as wind shear rises and dry air reaches the storm, and Trudy is forecast to become post-tropical in about 60 hours and dissipate in three to four days. Heavy rain, dangerous surf and a risk of flooding and mudslides remain in Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco, with storm totals of 4 to 8 inches and isolated totals near 12 inches.

Updated 16:46 UTC, Oct. 18, 2026. Hurricane Trudy brought heavy rain and strong winds to parts of Mexico's southwest and west-central Pacific coast early on Sunday as it held Category 2 strength and tracked parallel to the coast, Reuters reported, citing the United States National Hurricane Center. The center put Trudy about 150 miles, or 240 kilometres, west of Manzanillo, with maximum sustained winds of 105 miles per hour, or 165 kilometres per hour, moving northwest at about 10 miles per hour. A hurricane warning remained in effect from Manzanillo in Colima to Cabo Corrientes in Jalisco, and a tropical storm warning remained in effect for Las Islas Marias. Forecasters said little change in strength was expected on Sunday morning, but rapid weakening was forecast to begin by Sunday night. Trudy is expected to stay near the coast through Sunday evening, then weaken overnight and move south of Baja California Sur on Monday and Tuesday. The rain remains the main danger: 4 to 8 inches, or 10 to 20 centimetres, across parts of Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco, with isolated totals near 12 inches, raising the risk of life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially on steep ground. The center also warned of dangerous storm surge with damaging waves where winds blow onshore.

Updated 10:12 UTC, Oct. 18, 2026. Hurricane Trudy strengthened back to Category 2 on Saturday as it moved toward Mexico's west central Pacific coast, the United States National Hurricane Center said. The center put Trudy's maximum sustained winds at 100 miles per hour, or 155 kilometres per hour, on Saturday afternoon, with the storm about 115 miles, or 180 kilometres, south-southwest of Manzanillo and moving northwest at about 10 miles per hour. A hurricane warning stayed in effect from Manzanillo in Colima state to Cabo Corrientes in Jalisco, and Mexico issued a tropical storm warning for Las Islas Marias while dropping a similar warning for the coast south of Lazaro Cardenas. Forecasters said Trudy could strengthen a little more overnight before it starts to weaken on Sunday. The storm is expected to bring 4 to 8 inches, or 10 to 20 centimetres, of rain across parts of Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco through the weekend, with isolated totals near 12 inches, raising the risk of flooding and landslides. The Mexican navy urged sailors and coastal residents to take extreme care in high waves and heavy rain.

Updated 16:09 UTC. Hurricane Trudy held at Category 1 strength early on Saturday, October 17, as it moved toward Mexico's western coast, the United States National Hurricane Center said, in reporting by Reuters. The centre put Trudy about 190 miles, or 305 kilometres, south-southeast of Manzanillo early on Saturday, with maximum sustained winds of 90 miles per hour, or 150 kilometres per hour, moving at about 8 miles per hour. That is well down from the Category 3 strength the centre reported on Friday, October 16.

Trudy is forecast to approach southwestern and west-central Mexico later on Saturday and pass near the coast overnight into Sunday, October 18. A hurricane warning is in effect from Manzanillo in Colima state to Cabo Corrientes in Jalisco, the Associated Press reported. Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area on Saturday night, and tropical storm conditions should spread across the region during Saturday.

The rain is the main danger. Forecasters expect 4 to 8 inches, or 10 to 20 centimetres, through the weekend across parts of Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco, with isolated totals around 15 inches, raising the risk of life-threatening flooding and landslides, especially on steep ground. Outer bands could bring 2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals around 6 inches, in Guerrero and Nayarit. Forecasters also warned of coastal flooding from storm surge, large and destructive waves, and swells already affecting parts of the southwestern coast and spreading north through the weekend, with life-threatening surf and rip currents.

The earlier report below was written when Trudy was at Category 3 strength.

Updated 10:48 UTC. Trudy is now a major hurricane. The National Hurricane Center put the storm at Category 3 in its 09:00 UTC advisory on Friday, October 16, with maximum sustained winds of 120 miles per hour, or 195 kilometres per hour, and gusts to 150 miles per hour. The centre put the minimum pressure at 956 millibars, down from 989 millibars a day earlier.

At the advisory, the centre of Trudy sat near 14.2 degrees north and 102.4 degrees west, about 260 miles southwest of Acapulco and about 365 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo. The storm was moving northwest at about 6 miles per hour, and its eye measured about 17 miles across.

Forecasters expect Trudy to get stronger on Friday and Saturday, with top winds near 145 miles per hour by Saturday, October 17, as the eye approaches the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico on Saturday. Hurricane watches and tropical storm warnings are in effect for parts of that coast. The centre warns of heavy rain from Guerrero to Jalisco through the weekend, with a risk of flooding and mudslides in Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco, and of dangerous surf and rip currents along the coast.

The Associated Press reported the Category 3 strength early on Friday. The update replaces the forecast in the original report below, which was written when Trudy was a Category 1 storm and major strength was still a forecast.

Trudy strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane early on Thursday, October 15, the United States National Hurricane Center said in its 09:00 UTC advisory. The storm is forecast to grow fast and reach the coast of southwestern Mexico as a major hurricane this weekend.

At the advisory, Trudy sat about 300 miles, or 480 kilometres, south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, and about 460 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo. Maximum sustained winds were 75 miles per hour, or 120 kilometres per hour, with higher gusts. The centre put the minimum pressure at 989 millibars.

The forecast track

Trudy was moving northwest at about 9 miles per hour. Forecasters expect a turn to the north-northwest in the next day or two, then a turn back to the northwest this weekend. On that track the storm approaches the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico over the weekend.

No coastal watches or warnings were in effect at the time of the advisory. The centre said watches would likely be needed later on Thursday morning for parts of that coast, and told people there to follow the storm closely.

Rapid strengthening ahead

The centre forecasts rapid strengthening over the next couple of days, with Trudy becoming a major hurricane on Friday, October 16. Hurricane force winds extend about 25 miles from the centre, and tropical storm force winds reach about 115 miles out.

Rain is the near term danger. The centre expects 4 to 8 inches of rain through the weekend across Colima and Jalisco, with isolated totals near 12 inches. Outer bands should bring 2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals near 6 inches, along the coast from Guerrero to Michoacan. Forecasters warned the rain could bring flooding and mudslides, above all on steep ground.

Swells from Trudy should reach parts of the southwestern coast in the next day or so, with a risk of dangerous surf and rip currents.

A coast still recovering

Guerrero state suspended schools statewide for Thursday, October 15 and switched on emergency preparations, with heavier rain a concern on Friday and Saturday, state civil protection reporting said.

The new storm reaches a coast that is still clearing up from the last one. Flooding tied to Hurricane Simon and the remnants of Tropical Storm Rachel killed six people in Mexico earlier this week, five of them in Ensenada, Baja California, and one in Guerrero. Roads around Puerto Vallarta, which closed in that storm, had reopened by October 13.

Trudy formed in the Pacific on October 13 as a tropical depression, then became a tropical storm the same day at 40 miles per hour, about 490 miles south-southeast of Acapulco. Two days later it is a hurricane, and the centre expects it to keep growing before it nears land.